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Did our eyes deceive us last week? The Dow Jones industrial
averages rose a record 499 points on Thursday, March
16, just one day after a 320-point rise. It was the
largest two-day point gain in the over 200 year history
of the U.S. stock market. And it wasn't only the DJIA
that went on a torrid rally. The Standard and Poors
futures rose an impressive 67 points, while the rally
in the NASDAQ 100 June futures contract rose 237.50
points.
Was
this rally totally unexpected? Or was March 16, 2000
destined to go down as a significant date in the U.S.
stock market?
What
Happened?
If
astrology is your guidepost to understanding market
climates, then March 16, 2000 sure makes a lot of sense
in understanding what happened in the markets. This
was the date Jupiter made an exact 90-degree square
to the planet Neptune, the third square in a series
of three for 1999-2000. Lest you think that this cosmic
event happens very often, consider again.
Jupiter
and Neptune have a planetary periodicity of approximately
thirteen years. That is, these two powerhouses align
in a conjunction about once every twelve to thirteen
years. What is also important are those times when these
two planets form their quarter "phases" (squares and
oppositions) with one another.
In
other words, Jupiter and Neptune form these "hard aspects"
(difficult angular relationships) to one another rather
rarely. Did markets behave in the past like they did
last Thursday under this same planetary alignment? It’s
easy enough to find out.
The
Three 1999-2000 Squares
This
series of three Jupiter-Neptune squares began on Tuesday,
July 21, 1999. That same time was important astrologically
because Saturn was also forming its first of three squares
to Uranus on Friday, July 17, 1999. Picking Monday,
July 20, 1999, as an important critical reversal date
for financial markets was thus a "no-brainer." It was
the day midway between the two trading days of these
powerful aspects.
Monday,
July 20, was indeed the then all-time high for the Dow
Jones industrial averages, which topped out at 11,409.
The U.S. stock market then began a bearish spiral that
was not to end until October 18, just one week after
the second passage of Jupiter square Neptune. During
the three-month bear market, the DJIA declined to 9976,
which represented a loss of 1433 points, or 13.76 percent
in value.
That
second passage was interesting because the market had
at first appeared to have bottomed on September 28,
1999, as the DJIA traded around 10,080. Over the next
two weeks, it surged to about 10,720 on October 11,
1999, the exact date Jupiter formed its second square
to Neptune.
The
trading community was euphoric as Jupiter squared Neptune,
representing a gain of over 600 points in only eleven trading
sessions, or an increase in value of over 6 percent.
In the five sessions immediately following Jupiter square
Neptune, however, the market plunged all the way down
to 9976. This loss of 744 points in just five sessions
took back all the gains that were made over the previous
two weeks—and more!
The
U.S. stock market then embarked on a dramatic increase
between October 18, 1999 (one week after the past Jupiter-Neptune
signature), and January 20, 2000, when the DJIA made
a new all-time high of 11,750. This represented an appreciation
of 17.8 percent in value in just three months.
Of
course, the NASDAQ was even more spectacular. Between
October 18 and the high of last Friday, March 10 (one
week prior to the third and final passage of the same
two planets), the NASDAQ 100 futures advanced close
to 2300 points. When you consider that it was trading
at slightly under 2400 at that time (October 18, 1999),
you can see that this index appreciated nearly 100 percent
in the last four months.
To
say that this is "spectacular" by any form of historical
measurement is an understatement. But then again, records
are made to be broken when Jupiter and Neptune enter
into aspect. After all, in the world of astrology, Jupiter
represents BIG, and Neptune is the principle of "no
boundaries."
History
of the Jupiter-Neptune Cycle
Does
the history of this planetary cycle tell us anything
about the importance of last week's market behavior?
I think so.
In
The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume
2: Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles,
published in January 1999, I wrote the following in
regard to the history of Jupiter forming a square to
Neptune:
"The
waxing square has a definite correlation more to troughs
than crests. In eight of these nine cases studied since
1930 (89 percent), a long-term cycle trough unfolded
within six months. There were three instances in which
the aspect occurred in a series of three contacts. In
each case, the market fell hard into the middle, toward
the end of this series. In two cases there were crests
right after the first passage."
Here
we have the same historical pattern occurring again.
That is, the market makes a long-term cycle crest within
one day of the first passage, then suffers a powerful
decline to a significant cycle trough into the middle
and again toward the end of this series (the low of
October 18, 1999 one week after the second passage,
and the low that appears to have formed last week, close
to this third passage).
What
Should Traders Do?
Was
that the bottom last week, from which stock prices will
now advance for many weeks or even months? Or will the
market behave like last October, where it tops out right
around the Jupiter square Neptune in a burst of “irrational
exuberance,” only to be followed by a very quick and
steep drop in which it gives everything back before
commencing the next wild ride upward?
Either
way, Jupiter-Neptune suggests that a low is close at
hand, and traders are advised to adopt bullish trading
strategies. That is, look to buy on dips now, if not
already long. There may or may not be another sharp
decline within the next five to ten sessions.
There
doesn't have to be, as the minimum criteria for this signature has already
been achieved, just as it has been achieved every time in the past 64
years. But even if there is a sharp decline in the immediate future,
it's most likely to be short-lived, and thus offer another buying opportunity
for traders. Once the low is in, the high of the next cycle is not due
for at least two to eight weeks afterward.
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