Can
we really use astrology to predict sports? This dazzling prospect
has tempted astrologers since the days of the Roman chariot races,
if not earlier. But in recent times, it has received relatively
little serious attention, especially compared to the rapid advances
we have made in other areas such as psychological or financial
astrology.
If
you think about it, though, sports and astrology are a perfect match.
What other field of human endeavor provides such objective, immediately
verifiable results? With so many matches every day, athletic competition
generates constant feedback, allowing us to continuously improve
and refine our methods. But does it work? How would you go about
doing it? There is a scarcity of good, published material on the subject,
but opinions are certainly easy to come by.
First,
Know Your Sports
One
of our first considerations from the astrological perspective is
that there are many different kinds of sports and one size does
not fit all. For instance, there is a big difference between team
sports and individual sports, just as there is a big difference
between Shaquille O'Neal and Michelle Kwan.
While
this may seem a little too obvious to merit mention, you might be
surprised at the number of astrological research projects that have
lumped all sorts of athletes together in a sample and subsequently
delighted the skeptics by failing to demonstrate anything of statistical
significance.
The
skills and conditions necessary for victory in different sports
vary widely. Football and baseball are markedly different games.
Ice hockey and soccer, while more similar in design, differ vastly
in surface. The same is true in individual competitions. For example,
while swimming and track races tend to run along the same lines,
winning a gymnastics or figure skating event is very different from
winning a sprint.
That's
not to say that the same astrological methods won't work across
the board, but you do have to ask the right question to get the
right answer! Just as you wouldn't want to venture into financial
speculation without a thorough knowledge of the markets, it's unwise
to assume that astrology will give you any kind of a predictive
edge unless you first gain a thorough knowledge of your chosen sport
and its athletes, especially if you cherish any hopes of profiting
through this kind of speculation.
The
Stars of the Game: The Horary Approach
Many
astrologers approach the sports question as a type of modified excercise
in horary astrology. Horary astrology is a time-honored technique
wherein a single chart is cast for when and where a question is
asked in order to determine that question's answer. In keeping with
the astrological theory that the beginnings of things contain within
them their end, the chart for the beginning of a match is used to
predict the final outcome.
Different
houses of the game chart are chosen to represent the two sides,
whether home team vs. away team, favorite vs. underdog, or whatever
is appropriate to that particular contest. The planetary rulers
of the signs on those houses are evaluated and their relative strength
is determined using a variety of techniques, both ancient and modern.
The side with the strongest ruler(s) is generally declared the winner.
One
seeming advantage to this method is that you only have to use one
chart, which some may find appealing. One drawback is that there
is a great divergence of opinion between astrologers over which
house rules what. For instance, many claim that the Ascendant or
First House rules the home team and the Descendant, or Seventh House,
rules the away team. Others claim the opposite. Obviously, they
can't both be right (or can they?) but they all claim to get splendid
results. Let's just say that the definitive analysis on this has
yet to be done.
The
Natal Approach
Other
astrologers focus on the birth charts of the competing parties,
attempting to determine who is best supported or worst afflicted
by the astrological conditions during the match. In a contest between
two individuals, they would use the athletes' birth charts, and
compare them to the game chart.
However,
in a contest between two teams, they might use a birth chart for
the teams, or charts for key personnel on each team or some combination
of the two. And just what constitutes a chart for a team? Some astrologers
like to use the chart of a team's first game, while others prefer
to use a chart for the beginning of the team franchise. Again, there
is little to no consensus on this issue.
Which
Way is Better?
In
sports prediction, it's hard to hide behind the scoreboard. You
are either right or wrong and there is very little grey area, unlike
personal forecasts, which can be highly subjective. Rather than
debate the merits of these two distinct approaches, I prefer to
point out that there are only a very few astrologers on this planet
who generate a consistent profit from the accuracy of their sports
predictions.
I like
to think that any number of methods could work for you if you are
objective and disciplined in your approach, but that could be just
another sentimental opinion. For the record, in my work I don't
use horary at all, and I rarely use team charts. I'm not saying
that they do or don't work, but that I've gone in other directions
that work better for me and are more reflective of my personal worldview.
What's
Your Worldview?
Do
you believe that the outcome of a sporting contest is predetermined
before the match even begins? Your response to that question could
have everything to do with your choice of astrological techniques
and how you would go about solving the problem that sports prediction
poses.
If
you are of the determinist stripe, believing that everything is
preordained and that we mortals have little choice in our fates,
you may prefer the horary approach. Reducing human endeavors to
a battle between planetary rulers doesn't leave a whole lot of room
for individual efforts or contributions. If, on the other hand,
you are more philosophically inclined toward freedom, and see man
as the author of his own fate, you may prefer methods that use individual
birth charts and compare individual efforts.
How
can we hope to predict if the outcome isn't predetermined, and if
it is, why do they bother to play the games? I hope to answer these
questions to the best of my ability in part two of this article.
Until then, happy sports watching!